
While looking through my email for something else I ran into a reply email I got to this fantastic post. Noting how most of those groups were gone and with SNSD officially riding off into the sunset I thought it might be fun to update and write an omona (semi, because the original wasn't my idea) original about it.
(this is an omona original written by
What better place to start than with the top/most likely groups?

Name: Twice TWICE!
Debut: 2015
Agency: JYP Entertainment
Description: While their initial single 'Like Ooh-aah' was a success it wasn't until Cheer Up & TT that they really began to gain steady traction. With 6 korean mini albums (including the pending What is Love?), a full korean album, a repackage, and several japanese releases Twice TWICE! seems poised to take over as this generations's big group
Hits: TT, Cheer-Up, Likey to name a few
Standout member: Sana, alongside Tzuyu
Strengths: While JYP can be a mess at managing groups the songs provided are almost always good and hold the distinction as the girl group with the fastest video to reach 300m views. Not to mention that they are all stars at scoring CFs and viral moments such as #ShyShyShy
Weaknesses: their voices An uneven vocal playing field vocally can be disaster if not perfectly balanced and while I personally liked Signal it was their first mis step. Not to mention a zig zagging of cute vs. slightly more mature concepts could leave the public confused eventually.
Scandals: Tzuyu's controversy about listed nationality comes to mind but so far so good.
Their next concept if they want to get to the top: Seated near the top it's about maintaining the bops and viral dance moments.
Percentage of chances of becoming the #1 girlgroup: 70% - 80%. The public loves them and so does the charts so it's all up in the air.

Name: Red Velvet
Debut: 2014
Agency: SM Entertainment
Description: The only group left standing from 2014's post Red Velvet has picked up a member since then as well as some steam, proving themselves to be formidable contenders for the throne. Two full albums, one repackage, five mini albums and a TBA japanese single RV seem to be working just as hard as TWICE.
Hits: Ice Cream Cake, Dumb Dumb, Peek-A-Boo
Standout member: Joy, thought not by much
Strengths: Having firmly branched away from being compared to f(x) - both by having 5 members and relatively frequent comebacks - Red Velvet has carved a niche for themselves with smooth vocal harmonies & a blend of pop/RnB sounds. Acting and variety show roles have also increased their popularity substantially.
Weaknesses: SM is still treating them well - for now - but we all know how fickle that can be.
Scandals: While cited as the standout member last time Wendy remains so for all the wrong reasons, having not one but two scandals involving 'acting' like black people. girl, bye!
Their next concept if they want to get to the top: With Bad Boy under their belt perhaps a summer single is the best fit as while I despise Red Flavor other people adored it.
Percentage of chances of becoming the #1 girlgroup: 70 - 80%. Versatility and fantastic vocal harmonies can only mean good things for this group and if it's not twice TWICE! it'll be them.

Name: BlackPink (in your airy-uh!)
Debut: 2016
Agency: YG
Description: YG's first girl group in almost a decade BlackPink holds the distinction of being the only one on the list to score their first music show win within a week of debut. While they don't have a mini the five songs they have released have all topped the charts.
Hits: Whistle, Play with Fire
Standout member: Lisa the rapper, Jennie
Strengths: Being YG girls affords them an effortless cool that clearly is being leaned into and so far they're avoiding 2NE1's pitfalls from styling and conceptual standpoints. Strong visuals and stronger vocals are why this group is poised to succeed.
Weaknesses: At least it would be if they weren't signed to YG who would rather cut off his nose to spite his face and seems to hate girl groups despite their success. Also, getting more than two songs at a time might do them a lot of good.
Scandals: None so far despite a few netizen attempts
Their next concept if they want to get to the top: Blackpink has shown themselves to be adept to a variety of sounds so really it's just about getting them out of the basement
Percentage of chances of becoming the #1 girlgroup: 65%. Much like 2NE1 this group has the goods but if they can't get out of the basement they really will follow in 2NE1's footsteps by not fulfilling their potential.

Name: Gfriend
Debut: 2015
Agency: Source Music Entertaiment
Description: The little group that could the success of Rough catapulted this group to success and now they've found a home making a-pink style songs people actually like. With A full album, 5 minis, one repackage and a best of album in japanese Gfriend are hot on the trail to be a serious contender.
Hits: Rough, Navillera, Love Whisper
Standout member: Yuju
Strengths: Yuju and Eunha, who sing a majority of the lead vocals, as well as filling the niche apink is struggling with.
Weaknesses: Their attempt to mature - Fingertip - was executed too early and it seems to have trapped them in Apink land for now.
Scandals: Nothing major so far but special mention goes to netizens trying to create one because their outfits for LOL used a McCall's pattern. L-0-L indeed!
Their next concept if they want to get to the top: Apink land is great - it's fine! - but they need to figure out how to re-integrate the rock sound into their music and slowly craft a plan to not be held prisoner there forever.
Percentage of chances of becoming the #1 girlgroup: 50% . This year and the next one will establish them as either very formidable or just another high charting but ultimately second tier group

Name: EXID
Debut: 2012
Agency: Banana Culture
Description: After a line-up change EXID solidified as its current 5 member group, capitalizing on a viral fancam to further their success.
Hits: Up & Down, Up & Down 2 Ah Yeah, Hot Pink, LIE
Standout member: Hani
Strengths: While it's fun to joke how their songs can sound similar it's a sound that people like and there's no denying the group's charisma & chameleon like abilities.
Weaknesses: While they haven't necessarily gone down while Solji is recovering - #GetWellSoonSolji - the public seems to like the group most as a 5 piece. All they need to do is hold on.
Scandals: Aside from an alleged bullying scandal & the confusion over the group that formed from when 3 members left - as well as a few trivial ones about Hani - the group seems to be solid & drama free.
Their next concept if they want to get to the top: Lady is brand new & cute but the next comeback most needs Solji or at least another sexy comeback like 'DDD'
Percentage of chances of becoming the #1 girlgroup: 50%. Their songs are usually hits but they are also the oldest debut on this list. With contracts lasting around 7 years who can tell where they'll be in 2020.
Hopefully I coded this well and if it's well recieved I have at least one more post planned LOL
source: this is an omona original written by
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:14 am (UTC)Great job!
But... I see several of the girls missing from this list... and while normally I'd raise my hand to defend them... this is a list of winners and I'd like to keep it that way.
STAN EXID! STREAM LADY ON iTunes, Spotify, Tidal and Google Play! (yes, EXID is on Tidal and the lessers aren't!)
Side note; why did I think Seulgi was the standout member of RV?
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:22 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:36 am (UTC)I have some thoughts (I'm a casual fan of all these groups except Exid, cause I only know Up & Down from them):
- Twice is already the top girlgroup, in terms of fandom, none of the others come close, their album sales are way ahead of the game.
- what you need to succeed is visuals and catchy songs, and they have that
- they don't come close to SNSD in terms of talent, and I'm not saying that as a hater, I like Twice and their songs, and I'm not a huge fan of SNSD, but it's just a fact
- Blackpink is huge in the West/SEA, they could take the throne worldwide if they got better promotions
- but they're with YG so they won't
- they're just as weak vocally as Twice, if not weaker, cause they don't even have a Jihyo
- Red Velvet has 2 talented members (Wendy and Seulgi) and three visuals, so idk why their fans come for Twice and Blackpink so often in terms of talent ratio.
- their performances are often really awkward to watch, aside from Seulgi honestly none of them look like they enjoy dance performances and they're super often out of sync
- Vocally they're definitely the strongest out of the Big 3 GGs, Wendy alone >>>, and their harmonies are on point
- I think Gfriend isn't gonna get to the top again but will continue to be successful as 2nd tier group, unless they have another surprise hit
- they're probably the most talented of these groups, vocally and dance performance-wise, but their music isn't appealing to me at all so I don't know that much about them
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:53 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:45 am (UTC)I want to stan GFriend but their music is just not for me.
Great post OP!
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:52 am (UTC)‘Shy Shy Shy’ changed EVERYTHING. It shot Sana to the top. She’s also much more charismatic than Tzuyu. (I like Tzuyu, she seems chill, but on variety shows Sana stands out by a mile when she does nothing, the camera loves her.)
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Date: 2018-04-08 07:00 am (UTC)I'm a casual Gfriend fan but Yuju is queen.
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Date: 2018-04-08 12:42 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 07:33 am (UTC)I love posts like this!! good job op!!!
Twice is killlliiing it out here, while im not fond of their new releases, and their lack of vocalists, im unsure of how long their popularity will last....i love blackpink but they have WEAK vocalists *sigh*
i looove red velvet but their lives are so weak, and wendy is so annoying after that “i can act like a black girl” sht. i’ve loved all their songs tho. I love Exid but their songs all sound the same so im kind of snooze, i always like the beginning but then never finish the song woops. Gfriend have the most strongest vocalists esp live but i dont really like their songs either lawd. all in all imma still download all these girls songs cuz theyre so catchy and good. just wishing them all the best!
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Date: 2018-04-08 08:04 am (UTC)its sad but gfriend really did shoot themselves in the foot with fingertip and lost a lot of momentum which is unfair cause fingertip is my favourite song from them but i guess they had too many male fans of their more innocent concepts :(
blackpink don’t have a chance purely because of yg screwing them over already and honestly i would just be happy for exid to get a win on a music show again
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Date: 2018-04-08 12:44 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 08:18 am (UTC)Twice are definitely the biggest girl group rn for sure. They've been getting the biggest awards since debut and (as I've read in some netizen post) each member basically has their own fandom.
With the way Joy is being pushed, I'm not surprised she's the standout member. It's unfortunate though that this kdrama she's "acting" in is making me dislike her (and her fans.. ugh). haha
I'd consider As If It's Your Last to be a BP hit, it has more MV views than the ones listed and even broke one of those fastest mvs to hit XX-number records. At this point all I want from and for them is more songs and work..
I don't know about the other two groups.
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Date: 2018-04-08 08:52 am (UTC)of course I'm biased af, but I also think that the 2nd generation kpop culture was a very different beast, and that the environment in which KPOP QUEENS girls generation came into existence has not yet been replicated.
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Date: 2018-04-08 12:46 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 09:07 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 09:33 am (UTC)The question is weather they will be able to reinvent themselves
One thing about SNSD is that not only did they win the nation's heart but they also had a variety of hits
Whether 'too manufactured' or not, SM was always able to get them those songs, to make them those girls
And as much as I enjoy both Gfriend and Twice they are this 'one type of song'/'one concept' GG. And there's nothing wrong with that. They're successful and they do well, release nice songs. But SNSD had that extra factor. And for me both Gfriend and Twice are lacking in that area.
As for the other groups, they're not even in the competition
BP is the new 2NE1 and I'm not talking about music style or anything like that
I'm talking in term of recognition. They are this group with a potential that's not showcased properly. And I'm afraid YG shitty managment will keep them as such: Popular song, popular MV but no 'real discography' so to speak (side note: funny though how people always brush off the cultural appropriation with them)
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Date: 2018-04-08 10:03 am (UTC)Mte it's annoying
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Date: 2018-04-08 09:34 am (UTC)i personally believe more in the "sequels are never any good" theory
+ this lists lacks a lot of groups
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Date: 2018-04-08 09:37 am (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 10:00 am (UTC)Also - that video showed that while 2NEI was hugeee, their sales never compared to SNSD. It feels like BlackPink is just repeating history with being second to Twice. Also on the topic on BP, I wouldn't call vocals part of their strength, I know you're putting in comparison to 2NE1 and yea they only really had Bom, but Bom >>>>> whoever BP has. That's just my opinion though
Thank you for posting!!
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Date: 2018-04-08 11:46 am (UTC)Twice is the new girl group for sure.
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Date: 2018-04-08 12:34 pm (UTC)in relation to the other girls, I really like RV, even tho their mismatched stage presence to queen Seulgi bothers me sometimes. I think Bad boy is an a-ma-zing song and it’s what sealed the deal for me to like them. Wendy still is racist, so that's too bad.
BP is nowhere’s to be seem but they release bops, once in every century, they are overhyped regarding their ~talents~ but that’s YG group so it’s a given. For a time I really thought they could be a great competition, with a huge selling power and relevance compared to Twice, but now RV easily surpassed them, bc YG has no idea of what to do with this group and I really hope they don’t go the 2NE1 way.
Gfriend had a great momentum and is sitting prettily in a comfortable place, being relevant and successful enough for a group that’s not from the big 3. They’re what Apink were a few years ago and I think it’s time for them to have a comeback by now.
If GF is the Apink of our times, EXID has become the BEG, I know this legendary group isn’t dead lol, but still inactive, while EXID keeps on giving. They found their sound after the Up &Down Phoenix success and the 3 remakes they did of it as consecutive comebacks. They’re holding the torch of the older groups with a candid smile. The thing that sells a group for me is the synergy of the members and how genuine they are outside the idol mask, EXID is great, they showed great professionalism even tho Solji couldn’t be with them. A true winner and they deserve the world. I also love their recent release.
I’m still half asleep, so pardon my english and spelling mistakes lol
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Date: 2018-04-08 06:00 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2018-04-08 12:39 pm (UTC)Red Velvet had a really strong year but who knows if they'll fall back in the one / two release(s) a year..
If BP don't bring out an album or at least a mini/EP, they're already done with. The public seems to be fed up with YG's foolery...
GFriend won't really switch up they're game cause they're safe with what they're doing. Fingertip flopped and Love Whisper got them back on again, even though that was a snoozefest. Bring home more fast paced pop hits like Navirella gorls!!!
EXID currently has the #1 spot in my heart so I hope they'll still be around in a ciuple of years. They're fun, innovative and know how to put on a show. The public really does like them better when they're a full house but I can't blame them. Hyerin has gotten really good over the last few years but she'll never be a full Solji. I love them so much so I don't care if they get the top spot in korea or not. They have a loyal fanbase and bringing out a sexy song once in a while keeps the public eye interested as well. They also have a lot of freedom within their company so I doubt they'll break in a few years.
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Date: 2018-04-08 12:49 pm (UTC)unpopular onion (for an i-fan) but i get why fingertip flopped. i was a big fan of gfriend since the rough era and i loved the aesthetics of fingertip but the choreo wasn't up to the level of their previous releases (which is gfriend's most important selling point) and the song is just alright. with love whisper they got back to that "cool choreo, song constantly stuck in my head" level.
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Date: 2018-04-08 01:43 pm (UTC)EXID is a fad, BP doesn't release enough music, GFriend will maybe end up like APink.
Loona is a visual group with no vocals but their fans will use ARMYs affect to get them noticed.
In my heart, I want Cosmic Girls to be the next thing but they're not sticking. LOL at no IOI branch groups being nominated, when I think that's like 60% of what active GGs we have left. WJSN would be my first choice out of those, then Gugudan, but there's too many people that only like IOI members in their groups.
This year has been so dry musically, even a nugu could rise just by my sheer desperation for good music. So yeah, Twice is it unless they burn themselves out. Would like to see a BG version of this for further discussion!
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:10 pm (UTC)mte, but who is the original nations boygroup? tvxq? big bang? shinhwa?
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Date: 2018-04-08 01:55 pm (UTC)I just don't think we'll get the same level as WG or Snsd or 2ne1 again. Those groups were another level. These groups would be lucky to get 4 minute charisma.
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:16 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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Date: 2018-04-08 01:57 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2018-04-08 02:26 pm (UTC)I don't even think SNSD did maintain their popularity and status for 10 years toward the end, through activity and I think "Lion Heart" was their last big song but it's still flat imo. But they worked hard enough that they could do nothing and still sit on the title. I think after this year, Twice might just be at that place because it'll have been 3 years of work since debut and they did their job of being the first group you think of when you even think of who is the newest top girl group. They're half way in as being the thought.
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:29 pm (UTC)I still do not think that twice is at snsd level.
none of these groups has anyone with Taeyeon or Yoona star power imo.
but what always amazes me about this generation of girl groups is how pretty they are~~~
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:35 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2018-04-08 02:37 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2018-04-08 02:38 pm (UTC)To be honest, Twice is the no1 girl group at the moment so, yeah, they're the new SNSD. Red Velvet are really close behind though. But to me, SNSD looked unstoppable because they could cover all kinds of skills (vocal powerhouses for the OSTs, one really successful it-girl, a great dance-line, variety skills that translated well in non-idol focused shows...) and I don't see either Twice or Red Velvet having all those skills cover yet. They're both amazing and I'm a fan, don't get me wrong! I just see them as more focused on some areas.
Black Pink aren't as active to be the next SNSD, they'll more probably be like 2NE1 (it's as much a compliment as a curse) in the sense that they'll smash records whenever they're allowed to release something but be a little forgotten between those moments.
GFriend had a good chance but 2017 wasn't their best year, while the main competition Twice and Red Velvet both had fantastic 2017 runs. They'll probably stay among the top groups but I don't see them going back to Twice or Red Velvet's levels (a bit like Kara?).
EXID are something else entirely, I see them more like the new Brown Eyed Girls, aka an older group that managed to build a nice career on top of a hit (Up&Down, Abracadabra) and are looked forward for their input, without being the nation's first love or something like it.
To be honest, IOI looked to me as the closest SNSD in potential - especially the fact that the members covered just as many areas as SNSD, but we'll never know if that potential I was was true since they lasted one year lol. I love all the groups that came off IOI but I don't see any of them getting as big as IOI could have been.
As for other groups, I absolutely adore Lovelyz with all my heart but their strategy has always been rather safe and much more team and/or Kei focused. I can see them building a nice fandom and going along smoothly like APink, but not moving upwards. Others are probably too nugus. Cube and DSP both missed the mark with their groups, Loona is going for a BTS-like trajectory and won't make waves in Korea yet, Oh My Girl had a rocky 2017 so they really need to nail 2018 if they want to move up in ranks, Dreamcatcher are a niche, Elris are way too focused on the face of their group, Fromis_9 are nugus... (again, I'm a fan of all of those groups lmao)
We'll see how SM's new girl group debut, I have a feeling that this time SM is aiming at a SNSD-like girl group (which I think was never really the point of Red Velvet and which allowed them to become something else).
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:49 pm (UTC)I was reading through Oh My Girl's wiki this year and was surprised that they kind of haven't done well? Like, I could tell they weren't doing as well as I expected when they debuted (personally, loved CUPID why didn't it go big!) but they're kind of... flops... But it's like EVERY other girl group loves them and wants to be them and finds them pretty? It's so weird, they have the place of being widely known but they're not actually popular?
Watching their teasers for this Banana song roll out was like cute teasers but you're basically advertising a flop. I don't understand how WM thought this was going to be something.
I feel like I should get into Fromis_9 but the name...
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:43 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2018-04-08 02:44 pm (UTC)I agree with most people that Twice is there. What makes a group a successful group by today’s terms is catchy songs and visuals as OP pointed out, and Twice is already there. They’ve already got all the sales and YT views and whatever else as well. But their downfall is they’re limited to one concept at this point, and it’s a concept that once a girl group is cornered into, risks losing a lot of fans (read: fake male fans LMAO) if they ever go a different route (ie Gfriend). They’re also huge now, but whether or not they can keep up the momentum and still be relevant years down the road is a different beast. I would say not having any strong vocalists is a downfall too, but like I mentioned, that’s not something that’s relevant in kpop nowadays (sadly).
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:47 pm (UTC)And that seems to be symptomatic of the latest gen. With groups like sistar, 2ne1, WG, SNSD at least one (or several members) had potential for solo activity and had their own star power
Even after disbandment Hyorin, CL, Sunmi... they all have solo career working out nicely
With the latest gen it seems like label focus more on group synergy rather than a collective of solo power (more Arsenal and less Real Madrid if you will).
But the thing is that having member with solid solo activity can help a group stay established in the long run because it 'feeds' the fandom between 2 group promo
There will be a point where twice won't be able to release as much as they do now (mind you they need to sleep) and that's when they'll need solo activity to keep the group in the audience heart/eye/mind
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Date: 2018-04-08 02:53 pm (UTC)(no subject)
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